Living and breathing in the Second City
Has anyone noticed that, despite all the media ra-ra, Obama is polling worse among registered Democrats than Gingrich is doing among registered Republicans. Gingrich is considered a dark horse candidate at best, and yet he’s already polling 13%, while Obama comes in at 11%.
Moreover, Gingrich’s base loyalty lies with hard-core voters who are likely to vote in the primary. So his 13%, if the vote were held today, would likely work out to a lot more than that. Obama, on the other hand has a lot of support in the middle, among the kinds of voters that don’t know what a primary is, much less how to vote in it.
It’s still early, but I just don’t see how Clinton doesn’t win this nomination easily.
The fog comes
on little cat feet.
It sits looking
over harbor and city
on silent haunches
and then moves on.
-Carl Sandburg
Daniel Messick
February 8th, 2007 at 1:01 pm
While Clinton may “sew up” the nomination, I still have to believe she is too divisive and polarizing a candidate to win election. Obama seemingly is the “safer” candidate in that he is not nearly as divisive a candidate. In addition, he does not have much of a record that can be attacked, while Clinton’s record is ripe for attack, as is her seeming inability to choose a position without incorporating some “wiggle room” for extricating herself should the winds of change blow on an issue and cause her to change position to satisfy the majority.